Epidemiologist: I expect that the number of newly infected in Croatia will reach 100 in the coming days

BRANKO Kolarić, an epidemiology expert, said in the Newsroom of N1 television that we might have 100 new infections a day, and commented on the statement of the Minister of Health that the percentage of asymptomatic cases of Covid-19 in those under 60 has risen sharply. “In the summer, viruses like this spread harder,” he explained, instead of mutating the virus.

Branko Kolarić from the Institute of Public Health, Andrija Štampar, said that the statement of Vilija Beroš about 92 percent of asymptomatic and mild cases of Covid-19 in those younger than 60 “corresponds to what we knew so far”.

“I have no information that there has been any significant change in the virus,” said Kolaric, noting when the last significant mutation occurred with the virus: “The virus mutation occurred when it passed from an animal species to a human. There are no significant mutations now. “

“Viruses simply spread less in the summer and maybe that’s why we have a bit less severe cases,” he said, explaining the current situation in Croatia.

The epidemiologist expects a sudden increase in the number of people killed in Croatia

“Unfortunately, our epidemiological picture has worsened. Younger people who have a slightly easier clinical picture or do not have it are infected. “When slightly older people get infected, they usually get infected in the hospital and there are more deaths,” he said.

When asked directly, epidemiologist Kolarić said that he was worried.

“Again, we have several dozen newly infected people a day. We started acting like nothing was happening … It happened to us that we no longer believed we could get infected. I expect that the daily numbers of those infected in the coming days will be 50, 60, and even 100. Yes, there could be three-digit numbers, “he commented on the increase in new cases in recent days, including the incident at the tennis tournament in Zadar.

Kolarić also says that there are no significant changes in the virus, that it is much clearer about the virus now than at the beginning of the pandemic, and that it therefore makes sense to decide that there is no more closure, which has led to almost complete elimination of the virus.

He said that it is possible to reduce the number of infected people even without a “lockdown”.

“So that the infected are quickly detected and put in self-isolation … Several infected people were connected with their stay in BiH and Serbia, so the new measures will help in that,” he supported the measures on self-isolation of passengers from BiH, Serbia, Montenegro and Northern Macedonia.

The problem is something else: “We have given in to individual measures. Even today, I watch at pre-election rallies, people are still shaking hands, which is undesirable. “

He also participated in tests of Covid-19 infection in Croatia, ie determining the presence of antibodies, which leads to immunity to coronavirus, and said that at that time even less than 1 percent of the Croatian population was found to have antibodies.

“It is Plenković’s responsibility to go into self-isolation if he was in close contact”

The host of N1 also asked Kolarić if he thought that Prime Minister Andrej Plenković needed to isolate himself after physical contact with Novak Đoković, who was already infected at the time, or if there was “close contact” between them in Zadar in epidemiological terms.

“I must admit that I am a little sad that this will be our main topic of choice. The assessment of the situation is carried out by interviewing the person who is infected, assessing close contacts and determining self-isolation by close contacts. According to what I saw from the media, a short pat on the shoulder is not an example of close contact. And that’s it, “he said.

However, the epidemiologist did not like something else:

“But the prime minister was at an event where there were infected people and there were certainly more opportunities where he could get infected. It is also his responsibility, if he was in close contact, to go into self-isolation. “

As for the elections scheduled for July 5, he said it was possible to conduct them with adherence to the measures, but that the biggest problem could be with a large number of people in self-isolation.

“In ten days we can have 10 to 20 thousand people in self-isolation. There are also homes for the elderly, visits are forbidden there. I don’t think it should happen that people are denied the right to vote, “he said, but he was convinced that good organization could be implemented.

Do you know something more about the topic or want to report an error in the text?

Leave a Comment